8 APR 2018 16:00 GMT +1 the time within the 31st round of Serie A will host the match of the championship of Italy, where Napoli will host “Chievo”. The website predictionsfootball.org analyzed statistics and produced the best prediction, and is willing to share.
For a long time Legerova in the Italian championship, Napoli started to stumble too often in the last four matches produced just one win, and during that time “partenopei” led for only 19 minutes. If two of the three “misfires” can be attributed to the power of the opponents (they were the capital’s Roma and inter Milan), then in the last round match Neapolitans only 10 minutes escaped defeat in the away match against “Sassuolo” occupying 15-e a place.
The attacking trio of Insigne-Mertens-Callejon, which in the autumn part of the championship inspired fear in opponents, Napoli, now is not has high performance: over the last four fight for three they managed to score only three goals.
Protection of Napoli stable, as in the beginning of the season: “it is white-blue” have conceded just 20 goals – less only “old lady”, but it wards Maurizio Sarri made the least danger to its goal of 18.4 xGA (best model the expected goals Neapolitans are, in particular, and in home games).
Wards Rolando Maran in 30 games managed to score 29 points and is in 14th place in Serie A. “the Flying donkeys” small (on average less goals per meeting) and seldom (in 60% of matches) score, but missing regularly: without scoring a goal rivals Chievo went only four times, the situation is worse only at “Benevento”.
Especially bad the team of Rolando Maran are in away games: the current away series Chievo has eight defeats. In 8 out of 15 away matches, Verona have failed to score a single goal, and themselves not only conceded twice from Cagliari and Sassuolo (lowest scoring team of the Serie A), also scored 29 points.
The leader of the “flying donkeys” is a 26-year-old Roberto English, who scored 9 goals in this season of the Italian championship. As the whole team, Roberto is now not going very well: in the last five matches English scored only once.
Napoli – Chievo: the statistics of personal meetings
In history the teams have met 19 times, Napoli has won in the 11 cases. Only in one case from the last six matches, Chievo have managed to take points away from the Neapolitans: it happened in the first round of the current championship.
Bookmaker “Parimatch” in this confrontation gives a distinct advantage to the home team – here are the current odds on the outcome of the game:
- the victory of “Napoli” – 1,17
- draw – 7,8
- win Chievo – 18,5
Despite not the best condition of the team of Maurizio Sarri, according to the legal bookmaker, Napoli needs to win with a difference of 2 or 3 goals: probability of a home win with -2 handicap assessed by the factor of 1.86 (to supply guests with the inverse of the same handicap can be a 2.01).
Prediction and bet on the match from predictionsfootball.org
Chievo, horrible playing away games is the opponent that is so necessary for the team of Maurizio Sarri: the Neapolitans must remember the taste of landslide victories. Despite the fact that the cause received in the match against “Sassuolo” yellow cards will not participate, Raul Albiol and Jorginho, Napoli are unlikely to miss from one of the most toothless attacks a guest of the Italian championship.